My piece for Thai Enquirer:
East Asia had for decades depended on both the generosity and might of successive American presidents.
The United States has served as the key offshore balancer in East Asia, maintaining a stable power structure that created an environment of peace and prosperity. The occupation of the American throne by an iconoclast unhesitant to blow up old norms was a shock to the system.
Now that throne is due to be contested once again.
Some hope that victory by the Democratic challenger Joe Biden, who is currently leading in the polls, would represent a restoration of a more harmonious relationship between the two great powers. Yet this increasingly seems like wishful thinking. While Biden looks to repudiate much of Trump’s domestic platform, China policy is one area where the former vice president is more likely than not to echo his successor.
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